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Tuesday, April 10, 2012

GDX and GDXJ

GDX traded higher yesterday and appeared ready to make a flag, but there were three problems.
The first was that it made a pennant not a flag. This leaves open the possibility of a drop from here or a quick rise and then a drop.
The second problem was with HUI. As mentioned in the previous post, HUI never went lower on Thursday like GDX did. This makes the two day pattern on HUI into a bearish flag with the same implications as problem one.
The third problem is with GDXJ. GDXJ is an ETF like GDX, but the stocks that are in it are junior or more speculative gold miners. The stocks that make up GDX are older, established mines. This makes GDXJ even more volatile than GDX. GDXJ made a new low for this move yesterday, closing below the lows from last Wednesday and Thursday.
Here are the charts:


The major support and resistance lines are the same in the chart above as they were in Friday's post.
The last bar appears to have formed a flag, but this was after hours trading and occurred nowhere else.
Note how the blue resistance line repelled it yesterday morning.


The chart for GDXJ is similar, but weaker. See how there was no messing around yesterday as it dropped to new lows for the move. I will still use GDX and HUI for all analysis, but I wanted to show how different charts of essentially the same market can differ and introduce uncertainty.
GDXJ is well traded with strong volume so it is definitely a worthy trading ETF.
Happy Trading.

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